FiveThirtyEight Election Forecast

FiveThirtyEight elections analyst Geoffrey Skelley breaks down key differences in this year’s election versus 2016.

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41 thoughts on “FiveThirtyEight Election Forecast

  1. Aug 2016 538 reported Trump is a significant underdog — he has a 13 percent chance of winning the election according to our polls-only model and a 23 percent chance according to polls

  2. https://www.vote.org
    Check out your state’s election process, register online and make an online request for a mail ballot if your state allows it. You can return ballots directly to the election commission in your community or to a drop box they set up for that purpose and avoid the post office on the return side.

    Let me know if you need help

  3. Beware that the United States Postal Service is not corrupted by political/corporate appointees! This is surely unconstitutional and a dangerous strategy to interfere with American's voting rights.

  4. TRUMP HAS HUMILIATED THE USA AND ALL PATRIOTIC AMERICANS BY INSISTING THAT OUR FORTHCOMING ELECTION IS BEING FIXED/RIGGED. America has for decades condemned and called out the rigged/fixed elections of totalitarian states while holding up our own elections as models of truly free/fair elections. Now our own national leader, President Trump, repeatedly claims that our national elections are rigged while his Fake-GOP stays silent, thus endorsing Trump’s gross insult and adding to our national humiliation.

    As the world knows, it’s ALWAYS the incumbent president/leader who rigs an election in order to cling to power. Trump has publicly refused to commit to accepting the election result and has strongly and repeatedly hinted that he will refuse to give up the presidency; he’s prepared his excuse by calling foul before the game has even started! There is an ancient prophecy that has withstood the test of time: “ Those whom the gods want to destroy they first make mad”! LET’S NOT GO MAD; LET US “GET MAD” AND DUMP TRUMP AND HIS FAKE-GOP WHORES!

  5. With riots, impeachment, the Kavanaugh hearings, the Michael Flynn case and the Russian collusion hoax, my contempt for Democrats, the Deep State, the judiciary, Big Tech and the mainstream media has never been greater. I don't want to be governed by Democrats and I don't want Democrats in the judiciary. I will vote to re-elect President Trump.

  6. Talk about a fake pole just like Hillary. Lmao There’s no way. Nothing but Trump signs everywhere he’s the only president who kept his promises in my lifetime he will win by a landslide take your fake polls and shove them up your ass

  7. Don't let the poll numbers dissuade you from casting your vote in November thinking Biden's got this in the bag, why should I vote?! Trump's supporters are hoping for a surprise victory again and our country CANNOT afford another 4 years under Benedict Donald! Please make sure you are ready to vote!

  8. Most astrologers & psychics predict Trump to win but taking long after the election to confirm. Then something changes & not sworn in for inauguration. Assassination attempt, health problem or divorce. Pence will be president

  9. Results of the polls that have been conducted until now could be affected by 2 major events: VP pick and presidential debates. Remember the Democratic primaries? Sanders was leading from the beginning, then Biden, from way back, ran past Sanders all of a sudden and the race was over in a matter of days.

  10. All these BS videos how things are solidified because of an African (?) American pick for VP. Someone please tell me what Joe and Barack did for 8 years. Yeah…..nothing…..thought so.

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